Got an email from a reader asking what I thought about Kirsten Dunst's chance at an Oscar nomination, and I think the field looks more like this...

The Definite 3
Penelope Cruz (Volver)
Annette Bening (Running With Scissors)
Helen Mirren (The Queen)

The Mix
Judi Dench (Notes on a Scandal)
Kate Winslet (Little Children)
Sienna Miller (Factory Girl)
Beyonce Knowles (Dreamgirls)
Meryl Streep (Prada)

Don't Discount
Julianne Moore (Children of Men)
Rachel Weisz (The Fountain)

Sienna's got the "IT" girl thing going for her, Beyonce might get some heat but who knows, and the other three are always excellent. Moore and Weisz no one seems to be banking on, but you never know. Weisz did win for "Gardener" and strong actors who've been up for it and won before can get put in based on name recognition.